Bitcoin (BTC) traded at $66,450 on Thursday, a 47% drawdown from its all-time excessive of $126,000 reached in October 2025. Because of this, many BTC holders are sitting on important unrealized losses, underscoring the dangers nonetheless dealing with Bitcoin buyers at present ranges.
Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin’s 47% drawdown from its $126,000 all-time excessive has left holders with practically $600 billion in unrealized losses.
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Obvious demand and shopping for from US buyers stay in deep contraction, suggesting broader market distribution.
44% of Bitcoin circulating provide now within the pink
BTC/USD trades 24% beneath its yearly open of $87,500 after it closed 2025 within the pink. The extended weak spot has pushed a good portion of its provide underwater.
As Bitcoin trades at $66,450 on Thursday, roughly 8.8 million BTC are held at a loss, representing $598.7 billion in unrealized losses, or greater than 44% of the circulating provide, in line with information from Glassnode.
Associated: Bitcoin dangers new lows as US greenback targets highest degree since April 2025
The magnitude of this determine implies a “structural resemblance to situations noticed in Q2 2022,” Glassnode mentioned in its newest Week On-chain publication.
Glassnode defined that the 2022 bear market gives a precedent when roughly 3 million BTC wanted to be redistributed earlier than the market may recuperate.
“Traditionally, resolving a provide overhang of this scale has required a significant redistribution of cash from loss-realizing holders to new consumers at decrease costs.”
This mounting paper loss has eroded conviction, prompting long-term holders (LTH) to capitulate by promoting beneath their value foundation.
LTH realized loss, a metric that measures the combination greenback worth of Bitcoin offered at a loss by buyers who’ve held BTC for greater than 155 days, has risen to $200 million, “confirming lively capitulation,” Glassnode mentioned, including:
“A significant cooldown towards ranges beneath $25M per day would characterize a extra compelling sign of exhaustion in promoting strain, and a prerequisite for the bottom formation that traditionally precedes a sustainable bull market transition.”

BTC’s spot value can be beneath the typical value foundation of US spot Bitcoin ETF holders, at the moment at $83,408, suggesting that these buyers are more and more underneath pressure.

The chance-off sentiment can be seen in world Bitcoin funding merchandise, which recorded greater than $194 million in internet outflows through the week ending March 27.
Bitcoin obvious demand contraction persists
Bitcoin’s obvious demand has stayed unfavourable since mid-December 2025, as merchants and buyers proceed to be risk-off amid BTC’s value weak spot.
Capriole Funding’s Bitcoin Obvious Demand metric reveals that the demand for Bitcoin is at -1,623 BTC on Thursday, and that sellers are in management.

The continued contraction in complete obvious demand signifies persistent “promoting from retail,” CryptoQuant mentioned in its newest Weekly Crypto report, including:
“The sustained demand contraction, now persisting since late November 2025, confirms that the broader market stays in distribution.”
In the meantime, Bitcoin’s Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the distinction in pricing between the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase and Binance, additionally stays in unfavourable territory.
“The persistent unfavourable premium signifies that US buyers haven’t but re-entered the market at scale,” CryptoQuant mentioned, including:
“That is according to the demand contraction seen throughout on-chain metrics.”

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin value dangers new lows within the quick time period amid a strengthening US greenback.
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