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HomeNewsPutin Offers New Clues About His Red Line in Ukraine War: ISW

Putin Offers New Clues About His Red Line in Ukraine War: ISW

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday “not directly indicated” that Ukraine utilizing Western weapons to strike targets on Russian territory doesn’t cross a Russian “purple line,” based on the Institute for the Research of Warfare (ISW) assume tank.

Ever for the reason that begin of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russian officers have referred to crossing so-called purple strains that might lead to an escalation of the battle. The Kremlin has even gone so far as suggesting nuclear motion could be taken if there was an existential risk to Russia.

The USA just lately introduced that Kyiv is now allowed to make use of American weapons to hit Russian territory in a transfer that many warfare analysts have mentioned would represent a crossing of Putin’s purple line. Nevertheless, in a Friday evaluation of the warfare, the ISW mentioned Putin implied strikes on Russian soil with Western weapons wouldn’t compel him to make use of nuclear arms.

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks on the Saint Petersburg Worldwide Financial Discussion board (SPIEF) in Saint Petersburg, Russia, on June 7, 2024. The Institute for the Research of Warfare mentioned feedback made by Putin on the…

Photograph by ANTON VAGANOV/POOL/AFP through Getty Photos

Referring to feedback the Russian chief made on the Saint Petersburg Worldwide Financial Discussion board (SPIEF), the ISW mentioned: “Putin said that Russia’s nuclear doctrine requires Russia to solely use nuclear weapons within the occasion of ‘distinctive circumstances’ of threats to Russia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

The ISW continued: “Putin said that he doesn’t assume such an ‘distinctive’ case has arisen so ‘there isn’t any such want’ for Russia to make use of nuclear weapons.”

The U.S.-based assume tank famous that Ukraine’s armed forces have just lately struck targets within the Russian border area of Belgorod with U.S.-provided Excessive Mobility Artillery Rocket Methods (HIMARS) utilizing GMLRS Guided A number of Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) rockets.

“Putin’s June 7 assertion is a big rhetorical reversal provided that Putin and different Kremlin officers have beforehand threatened Russian nuclear weapon use ought to Western states permit Ukraine to strike into Russian territory with Western-provided weapons,” the ISW mentioned.

The assume tank added that there have been a number of cases all through the battle when Ukraine and its Western allies have taken actions that might have crossed purple strains primarily based on earlier Kremlin statements. Some examples of this contains allies offering Ukraine with long-range missiles, trendy tanks and F-16 fighter jets. (Whereas Ukraine doesn’t but have F-16s, a number of nations have pledged to supply the plane to Kyiv, and Ukrainian pilots have been coaching to fly the jets.)

On condition that such actions haven’t resulted in “a big Russian response,” the ISW mentioned that “a lot of Russia’s ‘purple strains’ are almost definitely data operations designed to push the West to self-deter.”

Newsweek reached out to the Kremlin through electronic mail on Saturday for remark.